It has a bit of that homespun feel, but we’re still learning how to do this:
It has a bit of that homespun feel, but we’re still learning how to do this:
The spreadsheet showing our 2014 cases has been added to the Investigations page. There are 61 cases listed there.
We’ll try to do about 1 video a month. Videos will cover both public education and awareness as well as Field Investigator and Skywatcher training. We hope you’ll subscribe.
Here is the first one, to introduce the series:
A triangle case from Rochester, New York. Unfortunately, only one of the witnesses was willing to go on record, even anonymously.
Please read the redacted ROI for the details.
An interesting CE case from Russia. Unfortunately, we are unable to fully authenticate the CAT scan shown in the report. If you have the knowledge to do so, please contact us.
The report is from the 21st of February 2018 in Western New York state, USA. Multiple witnesses saw a triangle shaped object. If you saw something similar around that date, please contact us. Your report will be anonymous.
This time I am going to talk about a specific and easy to understand tool for revealing patterns in our data. It is called the Probability/Strangeness matrix, and it has been around for decades, although I’ve yet to see it used to its full potential.
The matrix is very simple. After we have investigated a case, we rate the case on a scale of 0 to 5 for both probability and strangeness. These two ratings are required to be independent – a case can be strange but improbable, it can be probable but not very strange, or any combination. What we are of course most interested in the small fraction of cases in the upper right hand corner of the matrix that are both probable and strange, and how they move on the matrix as the investigation proceeds. It’s very clear from the plot – usually done with probability on the horizontal axis and strangeness on the vertical – what is going on.
In our upcoming video series as well as our ongoing podcast API Case Files, we want to answer your questions. What questions do you have about reporting UFO sightings, how API Investigates sightings, what you can expect from us, or how to become a Field Investigator? Or, anything else related? Let us know in the comments to this post, or shoot us your question via the contact form.
Please keep your questions specific, and let us know if it is ok to use your name when we give the answer.
We still have a subreddit, if you are more of a reddit person than a blog person. Feel free to join us there and discuss the podcast and related matters. We’ll read everything.